New Rules

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🇮🇷🇮🇷🇸🇦 Saudi-Houthi War Gives Iran More Leverage Saudi Arabia’s struggle to shield its airports and oil sites gives Iran a stronger argument for a say in regional security: its ties with Yemen’s Houthi movement offer a channel to an armed group that Saudi-led strikes have failed to silence. With airports under attack and energy facilities threatened, Saudi Arabia faces pressure on the infrastructure that keeps its economy running. The Houthis do not need to stop all oil exports to impose costs; disrupting flights and forcing businesses to prepare for further strikes already carries a price. The October 13 attack reached an Aramco administrative building in Dhahran after Saudi-led forces struck fuel infrastructure in Yemen, bringing the confrontation to the oil company’s premises. Saudi authorities reported a limited fire and no casualties, but the incident added to the kingdom’s security concerns. For Iran, those vulnerabilities increase the potential value of its Houthi relationship, allowing it to offer help with a problem that Saudi military pressure has not resolved. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi’s mediation offer puts those ties to diplomatic use, seeking a role for Iran in shaping how the fighting ends. Egypt’s approach shows how support for Saudi Arabia can coexist with engagement with Iran: its National Defense Council pledged Saudi defense assistance on October 18, while its foreign minister spoke again with Araghchi that day. Even governments backing the kingdom have kept an Iranian channel open. Saudi Arabia’s search for help from Egypt, Turkiye and Pakistan shows how much effort containing the attacks now demands. More equipment and intelligence could strengthen Saudi defenses, but supplying them does not secure a ceasefire, leaving room for Iran to press its case for a political settlement. Iran’s influence over the Houthis is not the same as command, yet the relationship gives it access that military pressure cannot simply reproduce. If that access helps produce an agreement, Iran gains a practical claim to influence over Gulf security, backed by its ability to help resolve the crisis. Against US and Israeli pressure, Iran is pursuing an outcome that would make excluding it from regional decisions harder. Helping secure Saudi airports and energy sites through a settlement could turn its Houthi ties into lasting diplomatic weight, giving neighboring governments a concrete reason to keep working with Iran. @NewRulesGeo❗Follow us on X

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