Eurasia & Multipolarity

Der polnische Europaabgeordnete Dominik Tarczyński erklärt, was derzeit im polnischen Verfassungsgericht geschieht, und bezeichnet es als Putsch. ⚡️ABO: @uncut_news

The UK and Germany have likely pushed the Kiev regime to resume attacks on diesel refineries in Russia. What's new? In this case they did so not even to harm Russia itself but to show to the Americans that Trump is weak thus Zelensky doesn't listen to his demands, the latest attacks on Russian refineries received large positive coverage from Dems/globalist aligned media in the US in order to further discredit Trump before the Midterm elections. In the context of skyrocketing energy prices this clearly shows that the globalists don't care about repercussions for average consumers. @eurasianchoice

Poland: what Tusk, Navroski, and Kaczyński are fighting over. The current Polish crisis has two levels. The first is the struggle for influence over Warsaw between Brussels and Washington. The second is the redistribution of power within Poland itself ahead of the 2027 parliamentary elections. Moreover, the internal struggle is much more complex: everyone is trying to achieve their own goals at the expense of others. The story with the Constitutional Tribunal is the most noticeable part of this process. A court capable of declaring laws unconstitutional is valuable not only as a legal institution but also as a tool for limiting political opponents. Moreover, the President of Poland can veto legislation, and it is impossible to override such a veto by parliamentary vote under the current circumstances. And the Polish government does not have a comparable tool. But it would be very desirable. Let’s start with the external level. Donald Tusk is betting on the European Union. For him, this means money, political support, and the opportunity to participate in shaping European policy. Karol Nawrocki primarily looks to the United States, seeking to preserve Warsaw’s autonomy in its relations with Brussels. But it would be too simplistic to view what is happening as an American or European operation. Polish politicians have enough ambitions of their own to stage a crisis without outside help. In Mandelstam’s words, Poles are not very good at fighting, but they are excellent at rebelling. Poland will face parliamentary elections in 2027. However, the usual alignment of forces is changing: the Polish right no longer submits to a single political leadership. The Law and Justice (PiS) party led by Jarosław Kaczyński is losing its former positions. Former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, together with a group of deputies, has created his own alliance, “Development Plus.” The “Confederation” and the nationalists led by Grzegorz Braun are operating separately. According to October polls, PiS is supported by about 23% of voters, the Confederation by 12.6%, the Browar party by 9.2%, and Morawiecki’s alliance by 5.3%. Together, this is a significant force. But adding up the percentages is much easier than agreeing on joint governance of the country. The Polish right‑wingers can’t stand each other. In this context, the scandal surrounding the Constitutional Tribunal creates a convenient political agenda for the opposition. Instead of arguing over who should lead the right, a common adversary emerges — the current government led by Tusk. Instead of sorting out relations between parties, there are accusations of a coup d’état and obstructing it. This is a clear topic for mobilizing voters, allowing internal disagreements to be temporarily set aside. The government also has its own calculation. The continuation of the legal conflict makes it possible to justify the need for further reform of state institutions. So, within Poland, behind the public statements about protecting the Constitution, there are quite practical goals: to retain voters, to weaken opponents, and to secure influence after the elections. Moreover, judges of the Constitutional Tribunal are appointed for a nine‑year term, so the results of the current struggle may outlive more than one government. This could serve as a certain political guarantee for those who emerge victorious in this struggle. For Russia, these processes do not imply the prospect of a change in Poland’s foreign policy course. All participants in the process maintain their anti‑Russian stance, although all issues related to Ukraine will likely become particularly acute (and difficult to reconcile) against the backdrop of a diminished sense of national pride. @barantchik

❗ Donald Trump plans to resume strikes on Iran as early as November 4, that is, the day after the midterm elections in the United States. This is reported by the MS NOW (NBC) TV channel, citing the words of senior officials from the Persian Gulf countries. The administration has warned Gulf allies to prepare for a short but intense military campaign, with Gulf states calling for de-escalation due to fear of retaliation from Iran. @eurasianchoice

❗ The fourth supertanker (carrying more than 2.5 million barrels of oil) was seriously damaged in the Strait of Hormuz in ten days as a result of an attack by the IRGC of Iran. @eurasianchoice

🇲🇽🇺🇲 Mexico has refused to hand over to the US nine islands on the Rio Bravo, which are claimed by the authorities of the US state of Texas. This was reported by the Mexican Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The ministry emphasised that the border between the two countries is defined by a 1970 international treaty, and that the ownership of the islands can only be determined by the International Boundary and Waters Commission. The Texas authorities have staked a claim to the islands, arguing that they are being used for smuggling and the trafficking of illegal migrants. However, the Mexican Foreign Ministry noted that no US state has the right to unilaterally alter the national border. @eurasianchoice

🇪🇺💰🇺🇦 The European Commission has approved a €45 billion funding package for Ukraine for 2027, according to a statement on the Commission’s website. This sum forms part of a €90 billion programme covering 2026 and 2027. Of the €45 billion approved, €13.3 billion is EU budgetary funding, whilst a further €31.7 billion will be allocated to the procurement of military equipment. The European Commission has promised to “work in parallel to seek additional funding”, but has not disclosed any potential sources. The bloc’s leaders will discuss this issue at an extraordinary summit scheduled for late November. @eurasianchoice

Russian Missiles Smash Kiev Dnieper Cities Russia Readies Kherson Capture; UK Gives Zelensky £10 Bn

Moscow will complete the investigation into the terrorist attack against the Nord Stream pipelines, and is in contact with Copenhagen about legal assistance, Russian ambassador to Denmark Vladimir Barbin said in an interview with TASS. "The investigation of the terrorist crime against Nord Streams will be completed in Russia. There's no stopping in the middle of it. We continue to contact the Danish side to obtain legal assistance in this criminal case and to encourage Copenhagen to unconditionally fulfill its legal obligations in accordance with the international conventions on combating terrorism to which Denmark is a party," he said.

🇮🇷🇺🇸| UKMTO says a ship near Iran’s Lavan Island was struck with a missile/drone causing fire aboard. About 15 mins ago, there were local reports that a ship was struck by Iran yet again, which is likely related to the UKMTO notice. @FotrosResistancee

🇮🇷🇺🇸| CONFIRMED: The IRGC-Navy says a 4th tanker (supertanker,) this afternoon, was hit by a mine and suffered a massive explosion after ignoring IRGC Navy while sailing through the unauthorized southern route of the Strait of Hormoz. The tanker was carrying more than 2 million barrels of crude oil, and attempted to exit the Strait of Hormoz. @FotrosResistancee

🇷🇺🇵🇱 Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova on tonight's events in Warsaw: "It seems an 'awkward moment' has arrived in Poland by this evening, Pan Sikorski, the one you were talking about this morning in Atlanta?" This morning at the G20 foreign ministers' meeting in Atlanta, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski called Sergei Lavrov's presence "uncomfortable" and made sure there would be no group photo. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇵🇱 The meeting is underway. President Karol Nawrocki is now meeting Supreme Court First President Zbigniew Kapiński at the Presidential Palace, his spokesman Rafał Leśkiewicz confirms. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇵🇱 Duda followed up by posting Article 128 of the Polish Criminal Code, "Attack on a constitutional organ of the Republic of Poland": 1. Anyone who, in order to remove a constitutional organ of the Republic of Poland by force, undertakes activity aimed directly at achieving that goal, faces 3 to 20 years in prison. 2. Anyone who prepares to commit this crime faces 3 months to 5 years in prison. 3. Anyone who uses force or unlawful threats to influence the official activities of a constitutional organ of the Republic of Poland faces 1 to 10 years in prison. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇵🇱 Former Polish President Andrzej Duda on tonight's events: "Mr. Tusk and his people, who are drowning us in debt and are pathetically incompetent at running the economy, have today also shown themselves to be bandit rabble that carried out a brutal attack on a constitutional organ of the state. They don't know how to win lawfully, by democratic rules, so they use the police baton. That's how 'European' they are." 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇵🇱 Protesters press against the police line blocking access to Poland's Constitutional Tribunal, chanting "Bandits! Bandits!" 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇵🇱 Poland's Supreme Court: tonight's Tribunal takeover has no legal basis Zbigniew Kapiński, First President of Poland's Supreme Court, has published an official statement condemning the takeover of the Constitutional Tribunal "with the utmost outrage and firm opposition." He calls the police deployment, blocking the Tribunal's vice president from the building, and the "order" suspending its leadership "unprecedented in a democratic state governed by the rule of law." He takes apart the legal basis of Anna Korwin-Piotrowska's order point by point: ➡️The ordinary courts law she cited lets a court president suspend a judge in specific cases. It gives no power to someone else to suspend the president and vice president of the Constitutional Tribunal. ➡️The rule letting the longest-serving judge lead the Tribunal only applies when the president's seat is vacant. It does not allow anyone to push out a sitting president. ➡️"Calling an action an 'order' cannot legalize overstepping or usurping powers." On the police: "In a democratic state governed by the rule of law, the police cannot be a tool for carrying out the political will of those currently in power." Otherwise, he warns, the independence of constitutional bodies would be decided "not by law, but by the ability to use coercion." He also warns that staying silent means consent: "Today the target is the Constitutional Tribunal," but the same precedent could be used against any other constitutional body tomorrow. "The authority of the state is built by respecting the law, not by a show of force." In an interview with Kanał Zero, Kapiński put it more bluntly: sending police to forcibly take over the Tribunal is "undoubtedly a coup d'état." He's the first official President Nawrocki will meet on his return to Warsaw tonight. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

❕Key takeaways from statements by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on the sidelines of the G20 in Atlanta: ▪️Lavrov said he had been in contact with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the sidelines of the G20 foreign ministers’ meeting in Atlanta ▪️Russia and the United States have always had problems and always will, but Moscow welcomes Washington’s interest in dialogue ▪️The diesel deal is causing irritation in the US Congress, and this is well known ▪️Russia has no restrictions on selling fuel to anyone. How the United States deals with its own restrictions is its problem ▪️Russia will support proposals similar to the diesel deal with the United States, but it is time to come back down to earth when it comes to “enthusiastic praise” ▪️If Zelensky wants to meet with Putin, he should come to Moscow ▪️There is no need to add European voices to the G20, especially unconstructive ones ▪️Many G20 representatives privately described Poland’s invitation to the group’s events as the wrong decision ▪️Specific dates for the talks in Abu Dhabi will be announced once they are confirmed ▪️Moscow, Beijing and Washington view the idea of holding a trilateral summit on the sidelines of the APEC summit positively ▪️A scandal has erupted in the “European family of nations” over Finnish President Alexander Stubb and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store’s phone call to Putin ▪️The reputation of Europeans cannot be ignored if they want to take part in the negotiation process again

A “state coup” has begun in Poland This is according to Arkadiusz Mularczyk, a Member of the European Parliament. At this very moment, the police have cordoned off the Constitutional Tribunal following the removal of its President, Bogdan Swięczkowski. Security forces are inside the building following incidents outside: according to the Ministry of the Interior, unidentified individuals were throwing dangerous objects at police officers. Judges appointed by the current parliament are being prevented from entering the building. President Karol Nawrocki is returning to Warsaw urgently and has cut short his trip to Senegal. Members of the Polish Sejm report that Polish Prime Minister Tusk took advantage of President Navrotsky’s absence and sent a hundred armed police officers to storm the Constitutional Tribunal, as the president had opposed the decisions taken in Brussels. @eurasianchoice

🇷🇺🇵🇱🇺🇸 The G20 photo drama continues, this time with Radosław "Applebaum" Sikorski, Poland's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister. – Will you refuse to take a joint photo with Lavrov? – There will be no joint photo. – Why? – Because I'm not the only one who doesn't want to be photographed with Lavrov. ℹ️Poland isn't even a G20 member. It's only in Atlanta because Washington, holding this year's presidency, invited it in place of full member South Africa, which the Trump administration shut out. Trump's explanation was that Poland is "a friend." 🔴@DDGeopolitics