AMK Mapping

Russian forces have captured the village of Matyasheve, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk District). Pre-war population: ~233. Total land area: ~0.99 km². The fighting for Matyasheve lasted approximately 2 months, 10 days.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike on a building in the town of Shevchenkove, Kharkiv Oblast, allegedly used by the Ukrainian 116th Mechanised Brigade as a temporary deployment point.

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement regarding their overnight combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine. In Kyiv, they claim that a workshop involved in the production of long-range missile and drones, as well as the Darnytsia Locomotive Depot allegedly used to repair and restore railway rolling stock used to transport military cargo, were hit. In Mykolaiv Oblast, the MoD claims that a Nova Poshta warehouse in the village of Ternivka allegedly used to store dual-purpose cargo for the Ukrainian military, as well as a warehouse used to store drones in the town of Mishkovo-Pohorilove, were hit. They also claim to have struck a dry cargo ship in the Buh River Estuary.

Two more commercial ships have been targeted by drone strikes just outside Bulgarian territorial waters in the western Black Sea. One of the ships is currently sinking, while the other was damaged. Shipping data shows that the Turkish-owned "AZOV CONCORD" cargo vessel sunk approximately 17 nautical miles east of Krapets, Bulgaria, while the "CHELSEA 3" cargo ship, which is owned by Ukrainian company "STAR SKY SHIPPING" was damaged approximately 18 nautical miles off the coast of Byala, Bulgaria. "CHELSEA 3" was reportedly hit by three different drones. The Bulgarian Prime Minister has summoned Russian Ambassador Eleonora Mitrofanova, and is requesting urgent NATO surveillance over the area.

One of the first nights in a long time where there have been no reports of any long-range Ukrainian drone strikes.

A large fire broke out in Lviv City following Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drone strikes.

Russia continued to attack Zaporizhzhia City with KAB glide-bombs last night, targeting something near the southern outskirts where a fire subsequently broke out.

Overnight, Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drones attacked Rivne Oblast, striking unknown enterprises in the cities of Rivne and Sarny. Large fires broke out following the strikes.

Ansarallah claims they shot down a Saudi “Wing Loong 2” drone over the Saada Governorate of Yemen.

They are impacting now.

Southeastern suburbs.

2 more KABs are approaching Dnipro from the southeast.

Explosions in Dnipro.

6+ Jet-powered KAB glide-bombs are flying to Dnipro.

Repeated explosions in Lviv.

Explosions in Lviv, western Ukraine. The city is under attack from Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drones.

The campaign to discredit my work continues 🤣🤣 Imagine being this childish

New satellite imagery posted by @avivector shows a Russian Tu-160M strategic bomber being equipped with up to 10 Kh-101 cruise missiles at Engels-2 Airbase. This aircraft was subsequently redeployed to Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East, and will take part in the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic aviation, which will likely occur towards the end of October.

Claims circulating that Dobropillya has been captured by Russian forces are false. There will likely be a large information campaign by Russia in the coming days and weeks to exaggerate their progress in the city, and we may even see the Russian Ministry of Defence claim the capture of the city soon. Currently, there is only a grey-zone in the southern suburbs, where Russian forces are attempting to gain a foothold, and a larger infiltration zone in the east and northeast, where sporadic Russian infiltrations continue to be detected. I advise you all to be very cautious when viewing information about this sector, as there is a lot of disinformation coming out from both sides. Deepstate is obviously not showing the true situation either, and claims the nearest Russian-controlled territory is still 5.3 km away. If flag raising videos come soon, please remember that a geolocation of a soldier somewhere does not prove control, let alone consolidation, over that area, but just that a soldier was present there at a given time (assuming its not AI-generated). Russian soldiers have been present in Dobropillya city in small numbers since the beginning of July. Russia's tactic is to send in small infiltration groups of 2s and 3s, resupply them with drones, and have them hop between positions to avoid being detected by Ukrainian drones and soldiers, before sending in reinforcments to accumulate and attack the city from within. The same tactic was used in Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka. As of now, I estimate that there are no more than 2-dozen Russian soldiers present in the city, mostly in the southern streets. A few hundred Ukrainian soldiers are likely also present within the city.

Claims circulating stating that the U.S. has stopped providing intelligence data to Ukraine about Russian ballistic missile threats are completely false, and originated from hype channels on Telegram alluding to this possibility. It also stems from a fundamental misunderstanding of how this process works. Western satellites detect Russian ballistic missile launcher activity and subsequently transmit that data to the Ukrainian GUR, which triggers air raid alerts in all regions within range of the launch site. This method is not perfect, and this is not the first time western satellites have failed to pick up ballistic missile activity. For example, on October 2, an Iskander-M ballistic missile launched from Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, impacted Mykolaiv City. Its launch was not detected by western satellites. Similar instances have occurred in other regions in the past. The first missiles not being detected were due to them being of the RM-48U modified S-400 type. It is not known why Ukrainian radars are sometimes unable to detect these missiles either until they are falling or after they impact, but this is something that has happened multiple times in the past. Ukraine has their own radars capable of covering their entire airspace, and they do not rely on any western radars or AWACS to detect Russian aerial targets. Furthermore, American intelligence informed the Ukrainian GUR of the threat of a Russian ballistic missile attack on Kyiv potentially occurring three days ago. The threat window was for 72 hours, and tonight was the last night. It's likely that this will be extended further due to the low number of missiles (6) used tonight.