Claims circulating stating that the U.S. has stopped providing intelligence data to Ukraine about Russian ballistic missile threats are completely false, and originated from hype channels on Telegram alluding to this possibility. It also stems from a fundamental misunderstanding of how this process works. Western satellites detect Russian ballistic missile launcher activity and subsequently transmit that data to the Ukrainian GUR, which triggers air raid alerts in all regions within range of the launch site. This method is not perfect, and this is not the first time western satellites have failed to pick up ballistic missile activity. For example, on October 2, an Iskander-M ballistic missile launched from Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, impacted Mykolaiv City. Its launch was not detected by western satellites. Similar instances have occurred in other regions in the past. The first missiles not being detected were due to them being of the RM-48U modified S-400 type. It is not known why Ukrainian radars are sometimes unable to detect these missiles either until they are falling or after they impact, but this is something that has happened multiple times in the past. Ukraine has their own radars capable of covering their entire airspace, and they do not rely on any western radars or AWACS to detect Russian aerial targets. Furthermore, American intelligence informed the Ukrainian GUR of the threat of a Russian ballistic missile attack on Kyiv potentially occurring three days ago. The threat window was for 72 hours, and tonight was the last night. It's likely that this will be extended further due to the low number of missiles (6) used tonight.
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