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The Russian presence in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is at risk of disappearing. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί The blocking of Starlink and the shortage of troops in the Vostok Group (due to the redeployment of troops to other fronts) have led to a decline in Russian territorial control in that oblast from 420 square kilometers in early January to just 70 square kilometers by the end of September. This has pushed the fighting back to the borders of the Donetsk front and even several kilometers further inland, jeopardizing positions captured by the Russians in the first half of 2025. It would not be surprising if the Russian presence (understood as solid control) were to end soon. As I mentioned in June, the countermeasures to resolve the Starlink blockade would last until the end of the year, so there are at least three difficult months ahead for the Russian armed forces in the south (even despite the advances in Orikhiv).

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