Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸

🇮🇷⚡️- Initial reports of ballistic missile launches from Urmia, northwestern Iran.

🇺🇸⚡️- The White House has restored media access to all outlets that were previously barred.

🇾🇪🇸🇦🇸🇩⚡- Initial reports indicate that at least two Saudi and several Sudanese security personnel from the Rapid Support Forces, RSF, at the al-Tuwal border crossing have succumbed to injuries sustained during last night’s attacks. Ansarullah forces heavily shelled the Saudi border area overnight, a region that witnessed frequent al-Houthi ground incursions between 2015 and 2022. Rerum Novarum’s proprietary maps are now available at MINIMAP.TECHNOLOGY

🇪🇺🇷🇺 - Over the past 10 days, public officials across Europe have shared that new data hints at an increased risk of the Russo-Ukrainian war degenerating into a European War. Those comments were initially made by governments or country leaders before being backed by statements from intelligence agencies from France, the Baltic nations, Scandinavian nations, Germany and NATO. The national agencies seem to have different stances on when the hybrid warfare conducted by Russia will escalate but they all agree it will happen. The estimated time frames of the escalation range from several weeks to several months, to 2031. Fears of a Russian invasion have also sparked international debates on whether this is feasible or not. So far, agencies have mostly shared insights on hybrid warfare and barely speculated on a ground invasion. Rerum Novarum estimates those reports to be founded on verified data. The hybrid warfare waged by Russia has already picked up the pace in the past weeks, and seemingly accelerated even more this month. Ground invasions remain, for now, out of the equation. The most explosive action on the ground that Rerum Novarum anticipates is a possible takeover of the Suwalki Gap to link the Kaliningrad enclave to Belarus, or a hostile takeover of Narva in Estonia. Prior to such events, or larger ones, the international community would see obvious buildups from satellite imagery near points of tension. This is not the case for now. However, news outlets did indicate that hospitals were being prepared for wartime measures in St. Petersburg, Germany and France alongside new efforts from Baltic countries to prepare mass evacuations. Russia seems to have serious plans to test NATO's will to invoke Article 5 alongside European unity. Fully escalating the war in Ukraine to the rest of Europe is neither in their interest nor in their capacity. However, using European (and NATO) internal struggles to further sap the unity of the West seems like an achievable goal for Moscow.

🇩🇰🇷🇺⚡️- According to Danish intelligence, a Russian invasion of a NATO country is no longer impossible. From the same report, the Danish military intelligence urges public and private actors to prepare for a large-scale intensification of hybrid warfare across all of Europe.

🇷🇴🇺🇦🇷🇺⚡️- A drone entered Romania and crashed near Solca, Suceava county, earlier today. The drone flew for about 4 minutes after breaching the Romanian airspace from Ukraine. The drone is currently being studied by local authorities to determine its origin.

🇪🇸🇫🇷🇷🇺⚡️- The CIA reportedly warned Spain, France and Italy that Russia may use drones from ships in the Mediterranean Sea to target key infrastructures. The drone type used would likely be the Gerbera. There are hints Russia would use its influence in Algeria or Libya to facilitate the strikes. Visual by the source, El Mundo.

🇨🇳⚡️- Interesting pictures from a public park in China where families are advertising their single older sons and daughters in dating markets. China's fertility rate continues to collapse as the Government tries to encourage family formation and the Japanese phenomenon of "Hikikomori's" is becoming increasingly common in China.

🇺🇸⚡️- Senator Rand Paul is now considering another run for President in 2028.

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- Acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao confirmed in a letter to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand that there were eight suicide attempts during the USS Abraham Lincoln’s strike group’s nearly ten-month deployment. The strike group includes sailors assigned to the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier, its air wing, and the destroyers escorting the ship.

🛰⚡️- Reminder to follow us at our two MiniMap channels @minimapsupport and @minimapupdates! MINIMAP.TECHNOLOGY

🇺🇸🗳⚡️- Texas Lt. Governor Dan Patrick in a meeting with donors today in Austin said that each statewide GOP candidate is in jeopardy and that Paxton will lose to Talarico if things don't change. He also warned that down ballot State Senate GOP candidates are in trouble despite the states gerrymandered maps.

🇺🇸⚡️- Democrat Senate candidate in Alaska Mary Peltola has called people "faggots" and "retards" according to a new report by the New York Times which interviewed dozens of former staffers and reviewed hundreds of text messages. Peltola also said of Planned Parenthood in 2024 "I hope they know that if we don't win its more their loss than ours. FUCK THOSE BITCHES". Peltola then went on to hope a women on the board of a local PP chapter would "die of a botched abortion."

🇺🇸🇮🇳⚡️- Although Christie's most memorable moment from the 2024 primary was his "Donald Duck" line about Trump skipping debates, he also had a major moment when he accurately called Vivek Ramaswamy "ChatGPT" on the debate stage in what is arguably the greatest racial dog whistle ever uttered in the 2020s. Christie is telling political allies he believes that GOP voters are getting tired of the Trump show and similar types like Vivek and Vance.

🇺🇸⚡️- Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is seriously considering another run for President in 2028 depending on the results of the midterm elections. He feels his arguments from the 2024 primary have been "vindicated" and that a sufficient midterm result will convince GOP voters to look for alternatives to Trump.

🇺🇸⚡️- Republican Senators from Kansas are demanding that ICE cease operations in the state unless they cooperate with local law enforcement.

🇺🇸⚡️- Trump Admin will be moving forward with a 90 day diesel export ban in the coming days.

🇺🇸🗳⚡️- GOP pollsters in Iowa have told Republicans that even if they are in a heavily red district they are at risk of losing re-election and they are predicting a worse midterm result than 2006 where the GOP was demolished nearly beyond repair.

🇾🇪🇸🇦🇸🇩⚡- Unconfirmed reports indicate several explosions targeting Saudi Arabia’s Border Emergency Forces along the Saudi-Yemen border in the Jizan area. Note, Rerum Novarum has previously documented that Saudi security personnel deployed along the Saudi-Ansarullah border are primarily Sudanese soldiers from the Rapid Support Forces, RSF. Just last month, RSF's chief Dagalo threatened to withdraw the troops following Riyadh’s criticism of the paramilitary group.

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇰🇷⚡️- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News the U.S. and China have agreed to extend "the Busan agreement", the one-year trade truce the two sides reached last October in Busan, South Korea. The extension will last two months and end on January 10, 2027 — two months after the original agreement was set to expire.