Geopolitics Prime

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repost from New Rules

🇸🇦⚔️🇾🇪 Saudi Arabia Runs Short of Options Against Houthi Missiles Saudi Arabia faces shrinking options for stopping Houthi attacks on its oil facilities, airports and shipping because airstrikes have failed to halt the pressure, while potential allies remain unwilling to join an offensive inside Yemen. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Houthis sought $51B in compensation for Saudi airstrikes and the blockade, plus recognition as Yemen’s rulers, citing people briefed on discussions. Saudi Deputy Minister Rayed Krimly categorically denied the account on November 5; the Houthi leadership did not respond to requests for comment. Houthi forces have reportedly seized territory overlooking Bab al-Mandeb, the narrow passage linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, and advanced to roughly 80 km from Aden, the seat of Yemen’s internationally recognized government. Missiles threaten the places where a Saudi-backed offensive would have to assemble troops and command staff. Retired US Army colonel David Des Roches argues that Houthi strikes around Aden make bringing reinforcements into Yemen harder, obstructing the ground pressure Saudi Arabia needs to strengthen its negotiating position. Airstrikes offer no straightforward solution against entrenched forces, while sending more Saudi troops risks casualties and anger at home. Saudi officials say Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman wants battlefield gains before negotiating fully but fears the cost of securing them. Pakistan has refused to join strikes inside Yemen, Egypt has limited its proposed mission to defense, and the US has declined direct support, according to the same account. The United Arab Emirates’ withdrawal from the campaign has further weakened the coalition, with Saudi and Emirati allies pursuing conflicting goals for Yemen. Rice University researcher Kristian Coates Ulrichsen warns that attacks on civilian and energy infrastructure also undermine investor confidence, raising the economic cost of a prolonged conflict. The Houthis can exert pressure without matching Saudi spending because their missiles threaten both revenue-producing infrastructure and preparations for a ground offensive. Without forces able to disrupt those attacks at their source, Saudi Arabia faces continued economic damage while struggling to build leverage for negotiations. @NewRulesGeo❗Follow us on X

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