The USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier will arrive in the Middle East by the end of October, and the midterms will be over by November 3. After that, the regional war will likely resume. So, what is the current status of the axis of resistance? While the axis has been severely degraded from the last three years of on-and-off regional war, Iran and Ansarallah have become very emboldened by their recent successes, and it appears that the informal alliance is beginning to make a comeback. - Iran likely has satellite intelligence being provided by Russia in response to American intelligence being provided to Ukraine, so the accuracy of their strikes and the value of their targets hit will be much higher. This, coupled with the critical U.S. interceptor missile shortages, is how Iran has established strong deterrence, and is why they are able to consistently strike ships in the Strait of Hormuz without any American retaliation, and even target U.S. bases without retaliation as we saw earlier this year. - Ansarallah maintains a high capacity to launch ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones at Saudi Arabia, even while actively fighting a large-scale ground war against the Saudi-backed PLC, which obviously takes up a lot of resources. They remain by far Iran's strongest ally in the region, and will be very useful to their war effort. Therefore, it's likely that Israel and the U.S. will resume strike operations against them, especially amid the major frontline advances being achieved by Ansarallah against the PLC in Yemen. I also think there will probably be a new PLC counteroffensive soon with Saudi air support in order to salvage the situation, potentially even pre-emptively due to a possible future threat to Aden by the Houthis. Such as operation could also involve American and Israeli air support if they don't suffer munition shortages from their strikes on Iran. - Hezbollah is weakened, but has been able to consolidate control over the remaining parts of southern Lebanon in recent months following the end of the most recent phase of the war with Israel. They maintain the majority of their drone operators and FPV drone capacity, and still have a lot of long-range rockets in the Bekaa Valley. It's estimated that at least 2,000 elite Hezbollah Radwan operatives are still entrenched between the Israeli positions and the Litani River. Thousands more fighters are present throughout the Bekaa Valley and north of the Litani River. They will be weakened further if another war breaks out, but will remain largely a capable fighting force, unlike their various Palestinian militia allies in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. - With the withdrawal of all U.S. forces from Iraqi territory, Iranian-backed militias are also emboldened, and retain significant capabilities to target Saudi Arabia, especially as they no longer have to focus much on targeting U.S. forces in Iraqi Kurdistan. As such, we will probably see a new wave of U.S. strikes on them if the war restarts - Hamas, the PIJ, and other allied Palestinian groups will not take part in the next phase of the war, as they no longer remain a capable fighting force. Only some small decentralised Hamas and PIJ cells retain the neccesary combat capabilities, and with the complete dismantling of the post-war Hamas command structure by Israel in the last several months, and ongoing processes to replace Hamas' governance with a new Palestinian government friendly to Israel, it's unlikely that they will pose any major threat. It seems that after nearly 80 years, Palestinian armed resistance within Israel and the Palestinian territories can soon be considered dead.